Expert Analysis: In The Three Quarter, The Textile Yarn Market Is Weakening, Cotton Enterprises Or Stocking The Market.

In the second half of the year, the textile yarn and fabric market in the second half of the year is still going on. P is still struggling with the shortage of domestic demand and the limited external difficulties, and facing the game between cost and demand, the overall market volatility is weakening and the industry is hard to see.

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< p > 10~11 months < a href= "//www.sjfzxm.com/" > textile yarn < /a > and fabric market basically continued the three quarter steady and weak market, and as the end of the year approached, business operation thought was conservative, the operating rate and profit level in the industry declined compared with the three quarter.

According to statistics, the average operating rate of Chinese yarn enterprises was 59.25% in 10~11 months, 1.37 percentage points lower than the 60.62% in the three quarter.

In terms of raw materials, the operating rate of chemical fiber raw materials in 10~11 months went down: the average operation rate of polyester staple industry was near 65%, 2 percentage points lower than that in the three quarter, and the average running rate of viscose staple fiber was maintained at 90%, 5 percentage points lower than that in the three quarter.

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< p > although the operating rate of the industry has dropped significantly, the pressure on enterprise inventory remains.

Order is scarce, so that enterprises have to change prices in order to maintain production and sales balance.

In the 10~11 quarter, the four major yarn varieties showed a downward trend compared with the three quarter.

Among them, pure polyester yarn and pure cotton yarn profit margins narrowed by more than half, and the profit margin of human cotton yarn and polyester cotton yarn was also around 15%.

10~11, the fabric market prices also declined compared with the three quarter: the average price of pure cotton cloth was 6.41 yuan / m, down 0.47% compared with the three quarter; the average price of polyester cotton cloth was 4.94 yuan / m, compared with three in the three quarter, and the average price of cotton cloth was 4.63%, lower than 4.14% in the three quarter.

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< p > the external situation is also not optimistic.

Official data show that the 114 Canton Fair turnover fell year-on-year and the ring ratio.

The current a href= "//www.sjfzxm.com/news/list.aspx ClassID=101112107107" > Canton Fair < /a > cumulative export turnover of 194 billion 610 million yuan (equivalent to 31 billion 690 million U.S. dollars), compared with the Spring Trade Fair in April this year, a decrease of 10.9%, compared with the same period last year, the fall will decline 3% compared with the same period last year; buyers attending 189646 people, 113rd lower than the 6.5%, 112nd increase slightly 0.1%.

During the 3 months of the current Canton Fair, the short list accounted for 48.9%, while the 3~6 months accounted for 34.9%, while the 6 months accounted for 16.2%.

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< p > at present, most enterprises take a blank view of the year-end market, and businesses will stabilize prices, reduce Treasury and return funds as the main idea of operation at the end of the year.

Due to the poor market this year, most enterprises expect parking time ahead of schedule this year.

At the end of the year, whether there will be a wave of stocking up at the end of the year is the last straw for textile yarn and fabric enterprises in 2013.

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< p > three quarter textile yarn and fabric price characteristics: oscillation downward, the overall market is weak.

In the three quarter of 2013, the price of first grade and final price in the first quarter of the 328 quarter was 131 yuan / ton, or 0.67%, the price of polyester staple fiber decreased by 25 yuan / ton, or 0.25% yuan; the price of all cotton yarn decreased by 0.38% yuan; the price of polyester cotton yarn decreased by 300 yuan / ton, or 1.51%; the price of pure polyester yarn dropped to 150 yuan / ton, or decreased; the price of all cotton cloth descended to RMB yuan / M; the price of polyester cotton cloth was flat at the beginning of the quarter; the price of viscose staple fiber decreased by RMB yuan / ton, the decrease was; the price of cotton yarn rose by RMB yuan / ton, or the price of cotton cloth decreased by RMB yuan / ton.

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The profit characteristics of textile yarn < p > three quarter: profit margin, year-on-year rise and fall.

From the profit of four kinds of yarns, the profit of yarn products in the three quarter is rising and falling.

The yarn varieties such as pure polyester yarn, polyester cotton yarn and man cotton yarn profit rose year by year.

Cotton yarn profit increased by 44 yuan / ton, down 936 yuan / ton compared with the same period.

Polyester cotton yarn profit margin decreased by 233 yuan / ton, an increase of 224 yuan / ton compared with the same period last year.

Cotton yarn ratio increased by 32 yuan / ton, an increase of 514 yuan / ton compared with the same period last year.

Pure polyester yarn profit margin decreased by 124 yuan / ton, an increase of 746 yuan / ton compared with the same period last year.

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The export characteristics of textile yarn and fabric in the three quarter of P: the moderate rise in July and August and the rebound in September.

In the three quarter, the growth rate of textile and clothing exports showed a moderate rise.

In July, it continued the trend of rapid rise in June, and maintained a two digit increase in July and August. The main reason for this increase was the slow recovery of the major economies in the international market and the increased consumer willingness to spend.

The State Council's trade facilitation measures and the support of a series of macroeconomic policies on exports have improved the business and trade environment of the enterprises.

In July and August, the exchange rate of RMB against the US dollar was relatively stable and favorable for export market.

In September, the US debt ceiling negotiations, < a href= "//www.sjfzxm.com/news/list.aspx ClassID=101112107105" > global financial market < /a > severe turbulence, crude oil and other commodities and Shanghai Stock Index callback, and other news, the domestic and foreign markets were significantly less.

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In October 2013, China's export of textile yarn, fabrics and products increased by US $8 billion 567 million, an increase of 6.44% over the same period last year, an increase of 0.04 percentage points from the previous month, a decrease of 1.61 percentage points from the same period last year, a decrease of 5.73% in the annulus, a 2.54 percentage point increase from last month, a decrease of 0.04 percentage points compared with the same period last year.

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